Leading up to the announcement of a new agreement regarding Churchill Falls, there were uncertainties regarding the impact of potential leadership changes in Quebec. However, a political expert suggests that the involvement of the federal government will make the agreement more difficult to revoke.
Describing it as a significant investment in renewable energy, political science professor Lori Turnbull from Dalhousie University emphasized that the federal government’s active role as investors, rather than just mediators, plays a crucial part in the agreement involving Newfoundland and Labrador and Quebec.
The current leading party in the opinion polls, Parti Québécois (PQ), had previously criticized the Churchill Falls agreement. Despite this, following the recent agreement’s release, the party’s stance seems to have shifted. During a recent press conference, Quebec Premier Christine Fréchette faced questions about the agreement’s future if the PQ wins the election, mentioning the party’s interest in possibly revising or annulling the agreement.
In response to Fréchette’s statement, PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon refuted the claim, accusing her of rushing the deal for political reasons. Plamondon emphasized that the PQ would consider maintaining the agreement if it benefits Quebec.
Turnbull highlighted that even if the PQ aims to revoke the agreement, the federal government is likely to intervene and prevent such actions, underscoring the significance of federal involvement in safeguarding the deal.
Journalist Joël-Denis Bellavance from La Presse, covering the Churchill Falls agreement, noted that many experts view the agreement as mutually beneficial, particularly for Quebec. He emphasized the difficulty of securing a better deal than the current one on the table, echoing sentiments that this agreement is indispensable for Quebec.
Bellavance also connected the agreement to Prime Minister Mark Carney’s vision of positioning Canada as an energy powerhouse and highlighted its relevance in potential negotiations with the United States amid looming tariff threats. He stressed the importance of utilizing Quebec and Newfoundland’s clean energy resources to strengthen international relations, especially in energy trade discussions.
Despite acknowledging the federal government’s involvement, Bellavance suggested that Hydro-Québec would have a more substantial influence on the PQ’s decision-making, persuading them that the current agreement offers the most advantageous terms and warning against the costly alternative of constructing new dams in Quebec.
In conclusion, with the federal government’s backing and the economic benefits of the agreement, experts believe that the Parti Québécois would be compelled to uphold the newly signed Churchill Falls agreement.

